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The 500 Year Delta: What Happens After What Comes Next ePub download

by Jim Taylor

  • Author: Jim Taylor
  • ISBN: 0887309119
  • ISBN13: 978-0887309113
  • ePub: 1873 kb | FB2: 1724 kb
  • Language: English
  • Category: Management & Leadership
  • Publisher: Harper Paperbacks; Reprint edition (June 3, 1998)
  • Pages: 320
  • Rating: 4.2/5
  • Votes: 340
  • Format: rtf mobi doc azw
The 500 Year Delta: What Happens After What Comes Next ePub download

The 500 Year Delta book. A very entertaining book about the past, future and why stuff happens.

The 500 Year Delta book. Published in 1997, the book contemplates: The shift from reason-based to chaos-based logic The splintering of social, political, and economic organization The collapse of producer-controlled consumer markets The election of Obama. Okay,I made the last one up, but the first three are pretty darn good.

Jim Taylor is a lecturer and consultant to cutting-edge companies.

In the tradition of Alvin Toffler's Future Shock and John Naisbitt's Megatrends, The 500-Year Delta offers an enthralling glimpse of what businesses and individuals should expect as the d Age of Reason segues into the Age of Possibility. According to visionary futurists Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker. Jim Taylor is a lecturer and consultant to cutting-edge companies.

Jim taylor and watts wacker with howard means. next five hundred years

Jim taylor and watts wacker with howard means. The Wings of a Butterfly First Comes Love, Then Comes Marriage Innovation Crunching and Product Confirmation MILLENNIAL CONVERGENCES PART II. 48 52 55 61. 1. values: authenticity, connectivity, and a new civility. next five hundred years. This is a book about history and the direction of the future, about the qualities and frames of mind that will sustain us and those we must jettison if we hope to cope with what lies ahead. It is a book about taking the blinders off, about seeing things whole and clear.

The 500 Year Delta: What Happens After What Comes Next. Jim Taylor, Watts Wacker. Скачать (pdf, . 5 Mb).

Here to guide us through this turbulent time are futurists Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker. The book that will carry us into the next millennium, it is mandatory reading for entrepreneurs, innovators, business professionals, and anyone else who doesn't want to merely live in the future, but wants to own it.

As the Age of Reason nears its 500-year anniversary, the authors of The 500-Year Delta argue that . by Watts Wacker, Howard Means, Jim Taylor.

As the Age of Reason nears its 500-year anniversary, the authors of The 500-Year Delta argue that our world is on the precipice of massive change. Seriously, this is a great book. More Questions than Answers. Published by Thriftbooks. com User, 21 years ago. What a book! Anyone looking for Answers or to know what the future will be need not apply.

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Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for The 500 Year Delta: What Happens . Books, Comics & Magazines. Author: Jim Taylor, Watts Wacker ISBN 10: 0887309119. Will be clean, not soiled or stained.

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According to visionary futurists Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker, we stand at not one but several crossroads-marked points of discontinuity . Tam incelemeyi okuyun. The 500-year delta: what happens after what comes next.

According to visionary futurists Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker, we stand at not one but several crossroads-marked points of discontinuity between past and present. These include: The shift from reason-based to chaos-based logic. With the new millennium nigh, futuristic books, even those for a business audience, are gaining in popularity. Like Walker J. Smith and Ann Clurman (Rocking the Ages, LJ 4/15/97), both Taylor and. Diğer baskılar - Tümünü görüntüle.

Taylor, Jim, and Wacker, Watts, The 500-Year Delta: what happens after what comes next, Collins, 1997. Toffler, Alvin, Future Shock, Pan, 1970. Williams, Robyn, Future Perfect, Allen & Unwin, 2007. Оглавление ← Рекомендации для дальнейшего чтения → Риски и пути их преодоления.

In the tradition of Alvin Toffler's Future Shock and John Naisbitt's Megatrends, The 500-Year Delta offers an enthralling glimpse of what businesses and individuals should expect as the five-hundred-year-old "Age of Reason" segues into the "Age of Possibility."

According to visionary futurists Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker, we stand at not one but several crossroads-marked points of discontinuity between past and present. These include:

The shift from reason-based to chaos-based logic

The splintering of social, political, and economic organization

The collapse of producer-controlled consumer markets

For a world caught in this swirling intersection of change, Jim Taylor and Watts Wacker provide tested strategies to help companies and individuals reset their course toward an unpredictable future, offering new models to accommodate the increasing chaos of everyday life.

Describing our present point of transformation as a "triple witching hour," the authors chart a future course that is at once bracing, forbidding, joyous, and ultimately redemptive.

Arcanefire
I have given the book and or copies of pages to over 30 people. In time most of the predictions come to reality.
Ubrise
What a book! Anyone looking for Answers or to know what the future will be need not apply. The author's whole point is that there are no answers, and we have to manage our way through the paradoxes as best we can. This is important, unfortunately this point is not always clear in the text - sometimes one is left hanging, wondering whether a question has been asked or a statement made. (hence the lost point, chaps) Maybe I just don't translate American all that well, being English and divided only by language!

What Paradoxes? Things are getting bigger. And smaller. Things are going faster. And slower. Things are going global. And local. So the key is to know your self (a point they do make) and this puts me in mind of a quote I read (and can't find so I'll misquote it if I may:-

"Give me the strength to change the things I need to change, the perserverence to put up with the things I can't change and the wisdom to know the difference."

I am also intrigued by the 'back to the future' angle the authors use - 'futurists better be good historians' sounds like another paradox to me.

Overall a good read - a waypoint on the journey with a few good hints and tips. Some other waypoints I have found on mine-

Having a few good heros helps (strangely there are not many of these in this in the book) - so check out Horatio Nelson (Christopher Hibbert) - how can one so flawed become so great?

The Art of War by Sun Tzu (full text is on the net), I have a printed version with a forward by James Clavell - again notable in its absence.

Built to Last (Collins & Porrass - two more Stanford Alumini) which treats the Paradox question as a dualistic concept from Chinese religious philosophy (!).

Bon Voyage!
Insanity
While the authors make some valid points (i.e product is more important than process in a chaotic world; and To BE, to DO, to GO, to KNOW) the book could have been a whole lot better. Yes, the world, she is a changin'.....yes, the old rules don't matter anymore (like corporate loyalty). Perhaps then, the book serves as a reminder of sorts. Sometimes, however, they seem to fall into the anthropormorphosizing abyss ....making ANALOGIES(which they describe early in the book as an historic holdover of "linear thinking"...why do they insist on doing it themselves?) of physical principles with socio-economic factors. For example, check out their definitions of "particle economics" : " The economic analogy of particle physics, which concerns itself with matter so small that it lacks magnitude yet still exerts attraction and has inertia"....say WHAT!?! Or better yet, "Capital Quarks": "The sub-atomic structure of the elemental breeding matter of any business. Capital quarks come in four forms...." Maybe they're "onto" some new "paradigm" here, but they present no hard evidence of their claims and it hurts the book....it starts to smack of some psuedo-new-age thing (call it the "Tao of Business")....For anyone so inclined, check out a much more erudite work by the brilliant Yale Mathematician and Economist, Irving Fisher: "The Applications of Mathematics to the Social Sciences". (Fisher wrote more than 30 books, some of which are only now being re-released by Yale University Press...he was "the greatest American economist that America has ever produced" according to Joseph Schumpeter). In one manuscript, he built a hydro-dynamic model of capital market equilibrium and explained it in his mathematical investigations of the theory of value and price. It would also have been nice to see some more depth regarding "game theory"...a fascinating subject that is more applicable today than ever before. A great source here would have been to at least address some of the seminal work of John Von Neumann....unarguably one of the greatest mathematical minds ever produced: the inventor of the digital computer and the producer of the original work on Game Theory. With prodding from some of his colleagues at Princeton, Von Neumann applied his prodigious skills in mathematics with almost fearsome results to the social sciences (i.e. his game theory notions advocated a "first strike" strategy against the Soviets during the cold war....how's that for a "pragmatic" point of view during a truly MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) time?? But the biggest problem I had with the book was something more subtle. It was the same kind of issue I had with Kevin Kellys book ("Out of Control"....which described business/social chaos in a more "biological" metaphor that Taylor or Wacker). It has to with reconciling any sort of balance in this crazy new world. Taylor and Wacker address it at least by telling us that there is no such thing...that it is an illusion of sorts...we can find our own balance by admitting we have no real control and to "go with the flow"....not to fight anxiety and chaos, but instead, to learn to embrace it... like "drivers stuck in an LA traffic jam"...just concentrate on taking care of our own car (while listening to book-tapes!) They highlight this concept early in the book with the vivid example of the women commandering a "payback" from her boss for a signed deal she has brought in from a customer for a significant chunk of change. No payback from her boss...no deal...she will walk out the door (probably towards a competitor who can deliver the same goods for her signed customer...although one would suspect such a competitor might view her with a jaded eye...why? because they'll immediately think that she could do the same thing to them!) However, in a subtle mention at the end of the book, regarding merged or merging companies, the authors state:" You can find synchronicity of vision, even synchronicity of goals, but if the VALUES are not the same, the companies won't be the same color (new age speak for "soul"??) when they meet. And if the color is not the same, they cannot merge." SO, are they now telling us that values sometimes DO matter??....not just values of the self, but values about how we interact with other "value" laden humans? How then, do we, as responsible citizens entering the 21st century, reconcile the need to be "loyal to oneself" in these chaotic times, when the ultimate success of a business merger (or similar cooperative agreement) rests in a congruency of values? THIS is something that would be great to get the authors' opinion on...something that I know alot of people struggle with everyday, and that has become so polarized in our modern society (i.e Christian Right Family Values on one end and "Greed is a good thing" on the other). Moreover, it is only likely to increase in the next 500 days/weeks/months/years as our world becomes more interconnected than ever before. The book really rocks when they talk about "stealth wealth" and "downward nobility"....two trends that are so cutting edge they should copyright the phrases. And also when they mention their own experiences with addictions and troubled times, and how they have noticed the common-thread of the "gift of danger" in successful persons lives. This is great insight, that they only briefly mention. So, while it touches on a lot, more focus in certain areas would have made the book a no. 1 hit.
caif
In short the book could have been about 60% shorter. At times the hypothesis drawn are illuminating but very often the authors are spending entirely too much time to support their insights. My feeling is that anyone reading a book such as this doesn't necessarily need a whole lot of convincing as long as there is some sound rationale and telling examples to support the theories.
Having just completed the book I would recommend that anyone interested in picking up the book just look at the last 15 pages to get a sense of the nature of the book where the authors make predictions regarding the next 500 months and the next 500 years.
There are however some very keen insights on the power and use of technology (connectivity), tribalism, the role of corporations and government, business and social constructs, the importance of constant education, the nature of chaos, the power of the consumer... and almost all of this is addressed from primarily a marketing perspective.
There was very little that was written that I disagreed with but I feel like the same thing could have been said in many fewer words.
Mr_Mix
Triggered by emerging new digital infrastructures, the world ison the verge of an entirely new epoch. The organizing principles oftoday's societies and businesses will alter fundementally as we enter the next millenium. To survive and prosper in this new world, individuals, businesses and governments need to understand these new principles, and the rules that will govern the transition.

In the book 'The Five Hundred Year Delta', Taylor and Wacker present a provocative and very personalised view of the new organizing principles, and by doing so offer individuals, businesses and governments a new vision for the new epoch. A compelling read for anyone who wants to navigate the future with vision and confidence!
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